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  1. HUL, Marico, Nestle, Bikaji in focus as FMCG stocks outperform amid RBI easing and lower inflation forecast

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HUL, Marico, Nestle, Bikaji in focus as FMCG stocks outperform amid RBI easing and lower inflation forecast

Upstox

4 min read | Updated on April 15, 2025, 10:56 IST

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SUMMARY

FMCG stocks climbed on April 9, fueled by the RBI’s repo rate cut and a more optimistic inflation outlook. The FMCG index rose over 3%, with notable gains in stocks like Britannia, Godrej Consumer Products, Hindustan Unilever and Marico advancing in the range of 4% to 6%.

FMCG stocks shine: RBI rate cut, positive inflation outlook lift HUL, Nestle, Marico, Bikaji

FMCG stocks shine: RBI rate cut, positive inflation outlook lift HUL, Nestle, Marico, Bikaji

NIFTY50 and SENSEX skyrocketed on Tuesday morning, with both the indices rallying more than 2% at opening. FMCG stocks showed strong momentum last week despite lukewarm sentiment in the broader markets. The NIFTY FMCG index rose by 3.5%, outperforming the NIFTY50 index, which declined by 0.3%. Key FMCG stocks such as Hindustan Unilever, Nestle India, Marico, Godrej Consumer Products, and ITC rose between 2% and 6%.

The rally in FMCG stocks was driven by multiple positive triggers. One of the most prominent was investors' shift towards defensive sectors amid growing concerns about an economic slowdown. News of U.S. reciprocal tariffs and the U.S.-China trade war has heightened fears of a global economic slowdown and potential recession.

As a result, FMCG stocks offer a degree of protection during periods of economic uncertainty, as demand for daily necessities and essential FMCG products typically remains stable even during downturns.

Additionally, the forecast of an above-normal monsoon could boost rural demand, especially in the later quarters of FY26. Besides this, the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) rate cut and lower inflation forecast have also raised hopes of stronger demand in the new financial year.

Key stocks on radar

Hindustan Unilever: The FMCG giant surged over 5% last week, closing above the high of the past seven weeks. It formed a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart and reclaimed its 21-week exponential moving average (EMA). Additionally, it attempted to break out of the falling wedge pattern but faced resistance around the weekly 50 EMA and the downward-sloping trendline connecting the crucial swing highs of September 2024 and January 2025.
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Marico: The owner of the Safola and Parachute packaged oil brands extended its bullish momentum for the fourth consecutive week, breaking out of the symmetrical pattern on the weekly chart. It also formed a bullish candle on the weekly chart, indicating support based buying from lower levels.
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Nestle India: Shares of Nestle surged over 4% last week, reclaiming both its 21-week and 50-week exponential moving averages (EMA). It formed a bullish Marubozu candle on the weekly chart and closed above the high of the past eight weeks, signaling support-based buying from the ₹2,145 zone.
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Bullish outlook on HUL, Marico and Nestle India

If you anticipate Hindustan Unilever, Marico, and Nestle India will sustain their bullish momentum, a long call strategy may be worth considering. For example, let’s look at Hindustan Unilever.
Hindustan Unilever's options contracts expire on Thursday, April 24. On Friday, the stock closed at ₹2,366, putting the at-the-money.) (ATM) strike at ₹2,360. Buying an ATM call option sets the breakeven at ₹2,394—about 1.4% above Friday’s close. The trade turns profitable if the stock moves above this level.

Range-bound outlook on HUL, Marico and Nestle India

Traders expecting range-bound movement after a sharp upside movement may consider an iron condor strategy. It’s most effective when the stock stays within the range of short call and short put strike prices.

Conclusion

In summary, a long-call strategy benefits if the share price gains and moves upward. Options offer the flexibility to capitalise on different market conditions—whether bullish, bearish, or range-bound. However, past performance does not guarantee future results. It’s essential to evaluate risks carefully and have a well-defined risk management plan before executing any strategy.


Disclaimer Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for educational purposes. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities and strategies for trading. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely for showing how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.

Upstox

About The Author

Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

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