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  1. Bajaj Finance Q4 results: Check earnings preview, dividend and key technical levels

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Bajaj Finance Q4 results: Check earnings preview, dividend and key technical levels

Upstox

4 min read | Updated on April 29, 2025, 10:06 IST

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SUMMARY

Bajaj Finance shares are trading within a range of ₹9,660- ₹8,990 within the rising channel. Traders can monitor this range, and a break of this range on a closing basis will provide further directional clues.

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On the daily chart, Bajaj Finance remains in an ascending channel, trading above its 21-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs)

On the daily chart, Bajaj Finance remains in an ascending channel, trading above its 21-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs)

Leading NBFC Bajaj Finance will announce its March quarter (Q4FY25) results on April 29, 2025, likely after market hours.

Analysts expect the company to report strong growth in net interest income (NII) and net profit, driven by a healthy rise in its loan book and assets under management (AUM).

Bajaj Finance’s NII is projected to come in between ₹9,550 crore and ₹9,710 crore, reflecting a 19–21% year-on-year increase. Net profit is estimated to rise 11–16% year-on-year, landing between ₹4,270 crore and ₹4,450 crore.

In its recent business update, Bajaj Finance reported a 36% year-on-year jump in new loans booked, reaching 1.07 crore. AUM grew 26% year-on-year to ₹4.16 lakh crore, while the customer base expanded to 10.18 crore as of March 31, 2025.

During the Q4 earnings call, investors will closely watch management commentary on loan growth prospects, net interest margins, asset quality (gross and net NPAs), and any dividend announcement.

Ahead of the results, Bajaj Finance shares are trading 0.4% lower at ₹9,051 per share on Tuesday, April 29. Year-to-date, the stock has delivered over 32% returns to investors.

Technical View

On the daily chart, Bajaj Finance remains in an ascending channel, trading above its 21-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs).

However, the stock has encountered resistance near the ₹9,660 level, forming a bearish candlestick pattern. Immediate support is seen at ₹8,990. For the short-term direction, traders should watch the ₹8,990-₹9,660 range. A decisive close above or below this band could signal the next move.

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Options outlook

Bajaj Finance's May 29 at-the-money strike is 9,100, with both the call and put options priced at ₹675 as of 28 April. This suggests that traders are expecting a price movement of ±7.4% till its May expiry. However, let's take a look at Bajaj Finance's historical price behaviour during past earnings announcements to make more informed trading decisions.
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Options strategy for Bajaj Finance

Given the implied movement of ±7.4% from the options market ahead of the May 29 expiry, traders can take a look at the Long and Short Straddle strategies to take advantage of the anticipated volatility and price swings.

For those looking to capitalise on the expected volatility, the Long Straddle strategy is appropriate. This involves buying both an at-the-money (ATM) call and put option with the same strike price and expiry of Bajaj Finance, with the aim of profiting from a move of more than ±7.4% in either direction.
Conversely, the Short Straddle strategy is suitable for scenarios where volatility is expected to fall. In this approach, a trader would sell both an ATM call and put option with the same strike price and expiry, implying that the price of Bajaj Finance will remain within a range of ±7.4% after the earnings release.
Meanwhile, traders looking to implement bullish or bearish option strategies on the break of the immediate support and resistance levels can consider directional spreads. These strategies offer a slightly more advanced approach. For a bullish outlook, a bull call spread can be used by buying a call option and simultaneously selling a call option with a higher strike and the same expiry date. Similarly, for a bearish view, traders can use a bear put spread by buying a put option and selling a put option with a lower strike and the same expiry date.

Disclaimer: Derivatives trading must be done only by traders who fully understand the risks associated with them and strictly apply risk mechanisms like stop-losses. The information is only for educational purposes. We do not recommend any particular stock, securities and strategies for trading. The stock names mentioned in this article are purely for showing how to do analysis. Take your own decision before investing.
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Upstox
Upstox News Desk is a team of journalists who passionately cover stock markets, economy, commodities, latest business trends, and personal finance.

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